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Market Analysis - Fundamental View
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Dear boarders
Sky is USA Land is India!
Regards
aahoo...
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With the latest developments in stock markets,on the back drop of poor liquidity, the indian sensex may not get more than 12 pe multiple for the next few months....So,with the expectation of 1000 eps for the next fiscal 09-10,the maximum valued level for the secnsex could be 12000 for the near term.......
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Govt should directly interfere into the stock market to offset the fiis outflows.... pl note that there are scrips fell more than 90% from the peak.... govt told too many stories about indian stock market.... now leaving the investors into the troubles without giving any reasonable support to them whenever they actually need.......
In reply to:
Market requires catalysts from govt....
Posted by :
marketman
What manmohan is doing when the stock market investors loosing like this,on daily basis?! 
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What manmohan is doing when the stock market investors loosing like this,on daily basis?!...
In reply to:
Market requires catalysts from govt....
Posted by : marketman
Though the rbi reducing crr and sebi removing curbs on fii pnotes may not enough to solve the stock market problems with the immediate effect,atleast investors will gain some confidence that somebody is there caring for them in sock markets.... such moves can stop investors seling their holdings in panic....
So,atleast now, our policy makers on track and caring about investors.... more steps needed from govt immediately.... PM should interfere in stock market matters immediately like his friend bush and similar financial packages should be announced to indian stock markets....
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Dear boarders
Sky is falling! Sell Sky is the latest advise available in media. When one sell even now people are buying the mindless and panic selling. Commodity crash is a blessing in disguise for the Indian economy and growth story. Except gold all other commodities are crashing. We all know that from time imemorial Indians are passionate in investing gold. Of total availabe gold major portion is still in India. Only steel, alu, and copper companies are going to face problem in India. For Indian growth stroy this is also a good sign. Construction companies are going to gain and infrastructure development is in the pipeline and going to grow. We may expect in near future low interest regime is in the offing. Auto sector and interest sensitive counters are going to grow. As Indian public live on thrift instead of over spending, they are going to reap fruits in near future. FI PE funds are aggressive in Indian reality and have invested heavily. Central, state govt, UGC and other govt. quasi govt. agencies are going to hike pay and 40% of the arrear is going to be invested in one or other form. Normally the salaried class invest in gold and reality and housing. Historically reality housing sectors will be sssing good busines fron 0-6 years of every decade in India. Large no. of protest are seen in SEZ. It all indicates that like gold land is going to be a good investment option. Hence I suggest to invest in reality, reality shares, construction, cement, and in rate sensitive shares.
aahoo
( who believes in Indian growth story)...
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Though the rbi reducing crr and sebi removing curbs on fii pnotes may not enough to solve the stock market problems with the immediate effect,atleast investors will gain some confidence that somebody is there caring for them in sock markets.... such moves can stop investors seling their holdings in panic....
So,atleast now, our policy makers on track and caring about investors.... more steps needed from govt immediately.... PM should interfere in stock market matters immediately like his friend bush and similar financial packages should be announced to indian stock markets.......
In reply to:
Market requires catalysts from govt....
Posted by : marketman
Almost all investors are in depression mood now.... many investors will be happy if the stocks/indicies do not fall atleast from present levels.... forget about profits i the near term.... investors not in position to loos much.... so,govt should immediately take few catalystic steps to attract buying interest in the market.... this is the time market requires help fromolicy makers.... pl note that in bull runs market doesnt require anybody`s help....
So,rbi,sebi,exchanges and govt should act positively for the market in coming days.... otherwise,we may have to see prolonged bear season in indian stock market....
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Sir, I am posting this blog as a concerned investor. if you see the market in India, there is a Planned, Licensed and Authorized rape of market happening over.
If you look at the Dow Chart it is down from 52 high of 14280 to 10325 (down 27.70%), NASDAQ from 2851 to 1947 (Down 32%), FTSE from 6751 to 4735 (Down 29.91%) & Bombay from 21206 to 11801 (down 44.35%!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!).What happens in India. the fall in US and Europe is due to subprime lending in the US and European Market and it is not that much.
But are there any subprime assets in India for which bank are worried about. Yes, there are but the subprime assets in India are not like that of US or Europe. the are well within control of the Govt. and Banks, Still there is a free fall in the Indian Market. When Us is not falling much then why India. KABHI SOCHA KYON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Everywhere in the world short selling is banned now. But in India, how can Our worthy Finance Minister or SEBI Chief will allow to this, because they have vested interest in the fall of the market. they are licensed to drag the market to its lowest. They are licensed to rape the invester.
Actually the Indian Politian like Finance Minister P.C. Chidembram, Indian PM Manmohan Singh SEBI CHIEF Mr. Bhave are sold themselves to the FII or so called to the the authorized to rape agent. The Ministers are giving them safe & free exit to siphon off the money out of the India. Why, Why, Why???. A Big Question. There is a high level of corruption spread in the upper level of politics. Any how One has to think over it. I can speak/write N no. of pages onto it, but I think the ink will finish but the story of corruption will not end. Think over it. I do not want to write an essay. But think over it. Seriously.
There is a huge amount of tax collected during the past years, but what happens to the development. There is about 50,000 crore of Education funds collected during the last few year in the name of Education Cess. But what happens with the level of education. A report says that from every rupee collected for the purpose of education, 85 % is for establishment (Salaries) expenses. And what is the level of teacher we are getting. I think I should not speak about it.
Everybody has watched the most shameful ever event in LOKSABHA during the trust vote.
I think there is a solution to it. Let us start non cooperation movement. When you pay tax what they do with it. Transfer to the Swiss bank. I am a Chartered Accountant by Profession. Some of my clients was paying taxes in more then Rs. 20-25 lac per year. . What they get, Social security No you must be joking. They find threat to their life, unnecessary harassment by the govt. officials, every year painful scrutiny assessment. Are you made for it????. No a Big No. You must pay for the sake of the nation, but when everything goes into the pockets of the politicians, what is the use. So from now onwards lets us not pay the taxes to the government. Let us start non-cooperation movement.
...
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execute fire sale shopping strategy for some protfolio buy....
In reply to:
Fire Sale Shopping Strategy for 25% portfolio
Posted by : sam_pd
some more panic selling is expected next week, so there shouldn`t be any hurry to add more.
Fire Sale Shopping Strategy for 25% portfolio buying in steps.
1.watch business channel with mute if you need to
2.pick your stock( not more than 5 stocks) from the list which also trades in f/o and fallen 40% from top if large cap and fallen 70% from top if midcap. and see its daliy volatility, multply it with 2.5 times, if price goes below it and volume is greater than previous day, then some more can be added at lower levels .
3.if you have added and prices fall more, then don`t add any more that day, watch if there is any bad news flow or rumor.
4.If panic sells continues, based on news flow another shot for repeating the steps can be done.
5.This way over the time 25% of portfolio buying in steps can be done. 75% remains in cash.
Cheers!!
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its seems there are so many say we are not going to have any effects from the crisis and talk of the high growth emerging global economy. see the crisis going to take many big financial institutions, banks, biggies of the emerging india china any time and many small going out of business. already the signs of crisis spreading to the asian, the india economy are increasingly felt with almost highly drying up of foreign investments, flows many seeing difficult to be in business. one must can be in the sidelines and avoid keeping their liquids in the financial, banking areas be in cash in totally. see the things of doses by many to help calm crisis is not going to have any effect only see it aggrevating and spreading to highly risky emerging asian, india economy....
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The PM should act immediately and proper steps should be taken to stabilise the marekt atleast at these levels.... pl note that manmohan was made as PM to save the stock market four years ago.... he did his best to take the sensex from 4000 to 21000,but now ignoring the marekts whenever they really need help.... whatever be the reason, innocent investors money is robbed in stock market once again.... the responsible personnel can not sleep like this and should not put investors in regular/frequent troubles.......
In reply to:
Market requires catalysts from govt....
Posted by : LOOKUP
Already the bears nailed the coffin.The responsible personnel are sleeping or acts as sleeping, they will come in after the death of the market. And there are few sick people who celeberates the market crash.Only GOD saves the ordinary small investors and long term investors.
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It is not necesary to tell that many retail investors are in huge losses in recent times in stock market....
Mutual funds/institutions run by others` money and their managers may not be in panic because the money is not their own.... so,they dont mind what to do in panics....
Corporates or many promoters who have already siphoned money from the market through different options/routes.... they may not loose much even if market falls further....
Operators,bigbrokers,banks,few govt institutions who enjoyed the bull run minted money in recent years through stock market.... now they dont bother about the falls much.......
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Already the bears nailed the coffin.The responsible personnel are sleeping or acts as sleeping, they will come in after the death of the market. And there are few sick people who celeberates the market crash.Only GOD saves the ordinary small investors and long term investors....
In reply to:
Market requires catalysts from govt....
Posted by : marketman
Almost all investors are in depression mood now.... many investors will be happy if the stocks/indicies do not fall atleast from present levels.... forget about profits i the near term.... investors not in position to loos much.... so,govt should immediately take few catalystic steps to attract buying interest in the market.... this is the time market requires help fromolicy makers.... pl note that in bull runs market doesnt require anybody`s help....
So,rbi,sebi,exchanges and govt should act positively for the market in coming days.... otherwise,we may have to see prolonged bear season in indian stock market....
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
some more panic selling is expected next week, so there shouldn`t be any hurry to add more.
Fire Sale Shopping Strategy for 25% portfolio buying in steps.
1.watch business channel with mute if you need to
2.pick your stock( not more than 5 stocks) from the list which also trades in f/o and fallen 40% from top if large cap and fallen 70% from top if midcap. and see its daliy volatility, multply it with 2.5 times, if price goes below it and volume is greater than previous day, then some more can be added at lower levels .
3.if you have added and prices fall more, then don`t add any more that day, watch if there is any bad news flow or rumor.
4.If panic sells continues, based on news flow another shot for repeating the steps can be done.
5.This way over the time 25% of portfolio buying in steps can be done. 75% remains in cash.
Cheers!!...
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Almost all investors are in depression mood now.... many investors will be happy if the stocks/indicies do not fall atleast from present levels.... forget about profits i the near term.... investors not in position to loos much.... so,govt should immediately take few catalystic steps to attract buying interest in the market.... this is the time market requires help fromolicy makers.... pl note that in bull runs market doesnt require anybody`s help....
So,rbi,sebi,exchanges and govt should act positively for the market in coming days.... otherwise,we may have to see prolonged bear season in indian stock market.......
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In the above message crude should be read as dollar 15-30 per barrel....
In reply to:
Are we going 10 years BACK?? Lets all Bailout US
Posted by : mannish
With recent turbulence I presume that those Golden days will be back where Gold will be shining at 5-6k per 10 gm....Silver at 7-8k per kg....Crude at -30/bbl.....Wheat,Rice,Edible oil,even the indices...etc...all seems to be coming down to there 10 yr old level but there is nothing to celebrate much as our income level or say salary level will also come down and we will have limited savings.
Are we going back down the 10 yrs line....are we stepping backward....is this a backward journey...what do we name it???? US has shown there presence & importance in a very big...... Friends we all need to Bailout United States Of America......Let the market stabilise which is foremost important for all of us....let the confidence comes back to investor.....lets all bring the positivity back to the market.
Regards,
Manish Bothra,
Kolkata.
Poll
Udayan's Market Outlook
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| Udayan Mukherjee, Stocks Editor, TV18 | ||
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