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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Outlook - Short Term
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Market Outlook - Short Term

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23 Nov 2008 15:52

Dear alokvarshey,

Thanks for your message and your kind compliments.

I see Nifty forming a bottom within next few days or
so. I do not think Nifty can go below 2300 this time
at least. From the support range of 2350-2450, I see
Nifty rising to the resistance range of 3500-3600 which
I think will be rather protracted in time. It may take
upto 2 months in reaching the given resistance range.
In the Elliott principle, THEORY OF ALTERNATIVE is very
significant. If one upswinger is fast and sharp, then
the next upswinger will be long and slow. Once Nifty
hits the resistance near 3600, it is likely to slide
again slowly to its major support. It will depend on
global cues in January/February how far Nifty can fall
from the level of 3500-3600

Best of luck

SURESH MITTAL...

In reply to:

It happens only here

Posted by : alokvarshney52

Thanks & regards. At least I could find few takers like you for my concern. I appreciate your analysis and vision you had in January 2008. What new trading range you see in next 6 months.

23 Nov 2008 15:46

If you guys want to write messages in Hindi you can do so ... its free...2in2it told me about it ...lol.... I can not read hind my self but who cares...just go to....gate2homesdotcom..... than copy past the message....ok...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

pradesh,

But DU also believes one should not take pride in speaking/writing english well... one has to excel in Hindi.. wonder if he speaks Hindi just as well

Du are u punjabi?

23 Nov 2008 15:26

Your name says shati... I sure you can handle the two.... side by side...lol.... come on......

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : sp.palo

Dear pk,
there is hardly any difference between the two.
Both are unbearable. lol

regards
shakti

23 Nov 2008 15:26

Dear Mohanji,

There is a clear and big difference between WRITING CALLS and
SHORT SELLING CALLS. Call writer receives premium while Short Seller of calls pays premium. Theoretically Call writer`s profits are
limited while risk of Short seller of calls is unlimited. If you
write covered call options, you must have underlying security with
you. Say if you write 10 lots of Nifty Calls-3000, you must have
10 lots of NIfty Futures of the same month.

I just wanted to know the other finer points if any in the Call
options.

Thanks for your reply


...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : mohanji

Dear Mr Mittal,
Sorry for intervening with your query on selling calls.I am slightly confused.As a layman since begining i have been associating selling calls with writing calls.Everyone knows that you are very thorough in stock market.So why this doubt has arisen.Is there any technical difference between the above two?...am I missing something? Kindly let me know the same.Regards

23 Nov 2008 13:31

Hi Mohanji
shudh!!
Desi ghee jaisa?
so DU is `practise before preach` man!!
Interesting person, he must be....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : mohanji

Dear Pradesh,
i can vouch that DU speaks Shudh hindi, as I have been fortunate enough to speak on telephone.

23 Nov 2008 13:29

Hello sp.palo,
Yes my bonding with the stock markets is only increasing with each passing day. I have written here so many times that I use Metastocks software to do my levels. Perhaps, you may have missed it. However, I take into consideration many tools and situations before coming to my levels.
Thanks for your good wishes and you too take good good care of yourself. Happy weekend.
lovemeall26...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : sp.palo

yea lovemeall.
I understand your bonding with the markets and i frankly wish this bond to get stronger with time. At the height of infatuation, everything seems secondary. I too love visiting your home page.LOL..

I would love to ask you a personal question which you are free not to answer. Which software you use for your TA ?

regards and take good care of yourself
shakti

23 Nov 2008 13:26

Hello pkk07,
As per my exhaustive previous bear market studies, I have noticed the index comes down close to previous lows at least once. It may be within weeks or even months. Hence, I firmly believe that the final bottom needs to be tested once more to confirm that it is indeed the bottom. Yes we have made a higher low, now we need to see if we can make a higher high too. Will keep you updated. take care
lovemeall26...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : pkk07

Hi lovemeall,

On Nifty weekly charts, we still have not fallen below the previous bottom. If we close the coming week higher, then we would have made a higher top on the long term trend chart. Also previous high was 3000 so if we close the week above that or next week above that we would have made a higher top as well. Does this signify the bear market bottom is in place?

Note: I am using end of week (EOW) values only

23 Nov 2008 13:23

Dear Pradesh,
i can vouch that DU speaks Shudh hindi, as I have been fortunate enough to speak on telephone....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : pradesh

Yes, Radhika-Nandlal
DU is very special!!
I too feel that one has to excel in Hindi (Rashtrabhasha!!)
Fortunate you are that you are good at both !!
We will come to know about DU`s hindi if MMB becomes bilingual.
I do not know whether DU is Punjabi or something else, but I do believe he is an `Aries` guy.

23 Nov 2008 13:07

Yes, Radhika-Nandlal
DU is very special!!
I too feel that one has to excel in Hindi (Rashtrabhasha!!)
Fortunate you are that you are good at both !!
We will come to know about DU`s hindi if MMB becomes bilingual.
I do not know whether DU is Punjabi or something else, but I do believe he is an `Aries` guy.
...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

pradesh,

But DU also believes one should not take pride in speaking/writing english well... one has to excel in Hindi.. wonder if he speaks Hindi just as well

Du are u punjabi?

23 Nov 2008 12:51

NO. But it may in Feb...

In reply to:

Will Nifty fall below 2500 by end of the November series?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

23 Nov 2008 12:48

pradesh,

But DU also believes one should not take pride in speaking/writing english well... one has to excel in Hindi.. wonder if he speaks Hindi just as well

Du are u punjabi?...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : pradesh

DU
Q
no one has truly been able to MASTER his Art in spite of attaining high level of excellence ... there IS and ALWAYS WILL BE ... R O O M A T T H E T O P.
........
The term Master of their Arts is probably an exression of awe/reverence if used by a third party, and of conceit/self-indulgence/arrogance if used by the first part !
UQ

Very eloquent lines.. DU...
Thanks & Regards.

23 Nov 2008 12:41

Our market in 10 months span gone down from 21000 t0 7700,what has happened to corporate India and Investor?
We Indian believe that we are smart but this time atleast western buissnessman have taken over us
tata`s ,have baught Corus ,Land rover-Jaguar at wrong time ,they knew that they are in trouble while Tata`s thaught they are getting at good valuation ,today in same price they might have baught Chrysler,GM and ford as well
Similarly Birlas nivelis buy out proved to be wrong time
We the Investors also thought at at 12500 that it is fair valuation FII sold and we bought
so not only Corporate big brain also we the small smart Indian were trapped by these goras
Hence forth not only Corporate but we ,the Gov all should be carefull and watchful of them
They know how to take out money from our pocket
This time beware of them believe in India our economy and trap them
It is possible if we do not take clue from them rather let them take clue from us
Become smart and rich
good wishes...

23 Nov 2008 12:35

DU
Q
no one has truly been able to MASTER his Art in spite of attaining high level of excellence ... there IS and ALWAYS WILL BE ... R O O M A T T H E T O P.
........
The term Master of their Arts is probably an exression of awe/reverence if used by a third party, and of conceit/self-indulgence/arrogance if used by the first part !
UQ

Very eloquent lines.. DU...
Thanks & Regards....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : DUstocks


Thanks pradesh for tour kind words.

I firmly believe that in no sphere of human activity ANYONE has ever been able to `Master an Art`. Whether you talk of performing arts, viusal arts, financial markets, economy in general, sports, science & technology, no one has truly been able to MASTER his Art in spite of attaining high level of excellence ... there IS and ALWAYS WILL BE ... R O O M A T T H E T O P.

Yup, in a casual, and a very general vein I always quip to my students that you can be good (NOT master) at something ONLY by being a very keen, preceptive STUDENT always, and by carrying your task with a ceratin unfalgging `conviction of purpose`. The term Master of their Arts is probably an exression of awe/reverence if used by a third party, and of conceit/self-indulgence/arrogance if used by the first part ! No ?

Regards, DU.

23 Nov 2008 11:40

Friday was a bullish englulfing day per the candlestick chart. Was also an inside day per the bar chart.

Stochastics of most scripts showed positive divergence.

The bounce will come. So why not just say so. We will not be the new leaders along with China in this turn around. The western nations will follow our markets, at least until the they get their debt levels to a more reasonable levels.

We all know that markets would either go to 3000 or tank below 2500 - we expect experts like you to tell us what the next destination of the market is.

Why then do u make statemetns - It could go to 3000-3200 or it cud go gelow 2500.

Any one having a demat account would be able to say that.

I think we will first go to the 3000 level and then head back, even if the US markets tank on monday and tuesday.

Our run would be halted on options expirty - that would be based on the sentiment prevailing among option traders on wed at market close.

...

In reply to:

Mkt pullback to be shortlived, Nifty may fall back to 2500

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Udayan Mukherjee said the direction of the Indian market rests on what global markets have put in over the next couple of days." If the US markets have a good run for the next two days then this rally may extend a bit more. But whether this rally will extend beyond 3,000 Nifty is still uncertain."

23 Nov 2008 11:40

Yes I totally agree with your views. I cannot understand why there is so much discussion on this topic. Please tell me which stock and sectors will lead in market rally of nifty upto 3200 & sensex upto 12000. ...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 1800 IN JAN OR FEB 2009?

Posted by : nse_trader

Nifty will hit 1800 in jan or feb 2009 due to the worst quaterely results . Before any bull run to start nifty must hit 1800.

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