Online
| Post a Message | Explore Forums | Browse Stock Messages | Hot Discussions | Top rated Messages | Top Boarders | |
|
|
|
IFCI
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by :
harishkrsharmaTracked by: 2 Boarders
Markets which are closed due to some holidays are hopefully the happiest one to celebrate such occasions although temporarily....
In reply to:
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : treasureddhan
the fall in Dow will make Indian market players to wake up with a night mare 
GET RDY FOR THE BIGGEST CRASH IN HISTORY
Posted by :
BoyplungerTracked by: 1 Boarder
More to come ...
In reply to:
GET RDY FOR THE BIGGEST CRASH IN HISTORY
Posted by : treasureddhan
Dow below 9700 after long time
First Step by SEBI to improve the sentiments of the Market.
Posted by : harishkrsharmaTracked by: 0 Boarder
Baby would be shifted from ICU to a nursery ward today hopefully henceforth RBI and SEBI would be caring attendents.
Market would be rangebound outhere and i believe INDIA would change the sentiments today in the world markets.
harish sharma...
In reply to:
First Step by SEBI to improve the sentiments of the Market.
Posted by : lifaylon
The baby is in ICU now
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : day_traderTracked by: 2 Boarders
vkk43
You have very good way of saying things! I am quite liking your style....
In reply to:
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : vkk43
Yes u r absolutely right. No body would have though about US few months back that the situation there could be so dismal.
S O T projection for TODAY !
Posted by : DUstocksTracked by: 0 Boarder
At the current Speed Of Trend (SOT analysis), IFCI will become OVERSOLD on 17th October, 2008 at Rs. 30.19.
Support & Resistance LEVELS for today :
R3 R2 R1 P S1 S2 S3
38.93 37.41 35.03 33.51 31.13 29.61 27.23
Please don`t interpret SOT figures in ABSOLUTE terms for setting up your trades, use them only for general directional guidance - all at your risk & responsibility of course. If you do not understand what SOT projections are all about, just ignore this post, rather than setting up your trade upon something you know nothing about.
...
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : vkk43Tracked by: 2 Boarders
Yes u r absolutely right. No body would have though about US few months back that the situation there could be so dismal....
In reply to:
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : harishkrsharma
Just Imagine what would be happening in US right now in their investors or traders mind..............panic they would have never thought of ..........."America collasping one day".
The same happened in Russia in yesteryears longback........is US heading towards similar situation..........? if bailout package fails the situation would be similar. Hard to believe it is happening so early and one never imagined.
Economy is just a piece of paper ...........similarily wealth too is like this.
harish sharma
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : vkk43Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Thanks for your views on market....
In reply to:
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : Lalitdeshpandey
Nifty Data:
Only data can suggest where market is heading !!!!! at least to me.
06-10-2008
__________
The Nifty Spot sharply dropped by 4.19% to close at 3818 from the previous
week`s close of 3985
The Nifty Futures annualised volatility has moved from 45% to 46.09%
The total open interest (OI) in the market stood at Rs 62073 crore whereas
Stock Futures OI is at 19205 crore .........
Look at the details..................
The Nifty PCR-OI has dropped from 1.01 to 0.90 levels during the
week.
During the week we saw huge accumulation of contracts in Calls
starting from 4000 and above. The Nifty witnessed selling
pressure on every rise since there was a significant amount of
call writing taking place at every strike price. The major one was
4000, 4100 and 4200. On the other hand, the Put option of 3800
and 3700 observed decent addition of OI.
Global cues continued to remain negative as the $700 billion
bailout package seems to be minuscule. The Nifty has now
shifted its base and is trading in a range of 3700 4000. We feel
the level of 4000 would comparatively act as a strong resistance
on a closing basis in the coming trading sessions.
OPEN INTEREST :
-----------------
Nifty futures OI has witnessed an increase by 10.97% whereas the
Nifty futures price has dropped by 3.99% indicating significant build
up of short positions.
Participants are advised not to form long positions in the Nifty in
anticipation of a pullback on account of short covering. Instead the
strategy should be to sell on rise.
Stocks like HINDUNILVR, BPCL, HEROHONDA, LUPIN and
SUNPHARMA witnessed addition of contracts along with rise in
price, whereas IRB, BANKINDIA, DRREDDY, POLARIS and APIL
witnessed short covering.
Long unwinding of positions was seen in EKC, DCHL, ORIENTBANK,
LITL and BRIGADE.
VOLATILITY DETAILS :
_____________________
The Nifty implied volatility has risen from 36.37 to 39.80 on a
week-on-week basis.
Call options IVs have increased from 35.27 to 38.68 after
touching a high of 40.81 during the week whereas put option IVs
have risen from 37.46 to 40.93.
Counters, which have seen a rise in historical volatility, are
JSWSTEEL, APTECHT, SKUMARSYNF, ABAN and BATAINDIA
whereas stocks which have witnessed a fall in volatility are
GSPL, TATACOMM, LITL, IBREALEST and RANBAXY.
Conclusion :
The Nifty is currently trading at a premium of 20.35 points
compared to previous weeks premium of 12.90 points and the
COC is currently positive at 7.48%. Even after a 4% fall in the
Nifty, the premium in the Nifty continues to remain positive
because there has been consistent selling in the cash segment
compared to futures.
With negative global cues we may see the Nifty hovering in the
range of 3600 to 4000 in the coming week.
Stocks like REDINGTON, AKRUTI, JSWSTEEL, ASIANPAINT and
BRFL have seen increase in cost of carry.
.. The FMCG sector added maximum OI with positive bias. The sector continues to remain positive. L&T in the capital goods space went
ex-bonus this week. Hence, we see major accumulation in contracts in this sector. Other counters in this sector like ABAN, ABB and
BEML have observed short build up of positions.
.. Formation of long positions was seen in FMCG stocks like HINDUNILVR, FMCG as well as pharma stocks like LUPIN and
SUNPHARMA. Heavy short were formed in most counters whereas long unwinding of positions was witnessed in NIITLTD, MRF,
SHRREECEM and GTOFFSHORE.
.. FIIs have been net sellers to the tune of Rs 1475.06 crore
during the week whereas mutual funds have been buyers
of 447.90 crore.
Sell BHARTIARTL Oct Future below Rs 760
View: Bearish
Strategy: Short Future
Target 1: Rs 730
Target 2: Rs 716
Stop Loss: Rs 775.05
Market Lot: 250
......
GET RDY FOR THE BIGGEST CRASH IN HISTORY
Posted by : sp.paloTracked by: 1 Boarder
Dear knair,
Good morning. you are absolutely right.
Indian banks too like US has started giving personal loans. The number of loan agents hovering around each bank shows the banks are more interested in giving loans than the customers taking them.
Few months back ICICI bank`s website was showing a banner that "you have a pre-approved loan of 50000". It is not that these banks have faith on indians that they will repay it without hassle but its their greed of earning more money.
A recent statistics showed that ICICI and many other banks have given crores as loans to IT professionals simply on the basis of their temporary job pay-slips. It is really ridiculous. When they will be kicked out of their jobs due to the global crisis, this entire loan amount will nearly go as bad debt. practically, repaying EMI is not that easy as it seems at the time of taking credit.
As of you, i hate loans. we should live happily with whatever we have.
regards
shakti
...
In reply to:
GET RDY FOR THE BIGGEST CRASH IN HISTORY
Posted by : knair
Dear Shakti,
700 Bn is the tax payers money. US govt is facig the music of big financial institutions were playing all these years. They thrown the money everywhere as loan and credit for grabbing huge profit, without considering the risk factors. Our bankers were also fell in that jaal. Personal loan for anybody and everybody. But before it spread like a big mess, US proved that it was danger.
700Bn is not a luck but is a result of suffering a punishment for the crime committed by somebody else. This big money drawn out of the treasury is going to create problems. Bad things are still to come.
I had a policy in my life. If I have Rs.10, I should not spend more than Rs.9. I continued to stick to it. I knew if I spent Rs.11, I would be facing a deficit of not Re.1 but several times of that. The entire story rests with it.
knair
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : LalitdeshpandeyAddressed to Kalidas, Kaliababa Kali Das KotakInvestment
Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Nifty Data:
Only data can suggest where market is heading !!!!! at least to me.
06-10-2008
__________
The Nifty Spot sharply dropped by 4.19% to close at 3818 from the previous
week`s close of 3985
The Nifty Futures annualised volatility has moved from 45% to 46.09%
The total open interest (OI) in the market stood at Rs 62073 crore whereas
Stock Futures OI is at 19205 crore .........
Look at the details..................
The Nifty PCR-OI has dropped from 1.01 to 0.90 levels during the
week.
During the week we saw huge accumulation of contracts in Calls
starting from 4000 and above. The Nifty witnessed selling
pressure on every rise since there was a significant amount of
call writing taking place at every strike price. The major one was
4000, 4100 and 4200. On the other hand, the Put option of 3800
and 3700 observed decent addition of OI.
Global cues continued to remain negative as the $700 billion
bailout package seems to be minuscule. The Nifty has now
shifted its base and is trading in a range of 3700 4000. We feel
the level of 4000 would comparatively act as a strong resistance
on a closing basis in the coming trading sessions.
OPEN INTEREST :
-----------------
Nifty futures OI has witnessed an increase by 10.97% whereas the
Nifty futures price has dropped by 3.99% indicating significant build
up of short positions.
Participants are advised not to form long positions in the Nifty in
anticipation of a pullback on account of short covering. Instead the
strategy should be to sell on rise.
Stocks like HINDUNILVR, BPCL, HEROHONDA, LUPIN and
SUNPHARMA witnessed addition of contracts along with rise in
price, whereas IRB, BANKINDIA, DRREDDY, POLARIS and APIL
witnessed short covering.
Long unwinding of positions was seen in EKC, DCHL, ORIENTBANK,
LITL and BRIGADE.
VOLATILITY DETAILS :
_____________________
The Nifty implied volatility has risen from 36.37 to 39.80 on a
week-on-week basis.
Call options IVs have increased from 35.27 to 38.68 after
touching a high of 40.81 during the week whereas put option IVs
have risen from 37.46 to 40.93.
Counters, which have seen a rise in historical volatility, are
JSWSTEEL, APTECHT, SKUMARSYNF, ABAN and BATAINDIA
whereas stocks which have witnessed a fall in volatility are
GSPL, TATACOMM, LITL, IBREALEST and RANBAXY.
Conclusion :
The Nifty is currently trading at a premium of 20.35 points
compared to previous weeks premium of 12.90 points and the
COC is currently positive at 7.48%. Even after a 4% fall in the
Nifty, the premium in the Nifty continues to remain positive
because there has been consistent selling in the cash segment
compared to futures.
With negative global cues we may see the Nifty hovering in the
range of 3600 to 4000 in the coming week.
Stocks like REDINGTON, AKRUTI, JSWSTEEL, ASIANPAINT and
BRFL have seen increase in cost of carry.
.. The FMCG sector added maximum OI with positive bias. The sector continues to remain positive. L&T in the capital goods space went
ex-bonus this week. Hence, we see major accumulation in contracts in this sector. Other counters in this sector like ABAN, ABB and
BEML have observed short build up of positions.
.. Formation of long positions was seen in FMCG stocks like HINDUNILVR, FMCG as well as pharma stocks like LUPIN and
SUNPHARMA. Heavy short were formed in most counters whereas long unwinding of positions was witnessed in NIITLTD, MRF,
SHRREECEM and GTOFFSHORE.
.. FIIs have been net sellers to the tune of Rs 1475.06 crore
during the week whereas mutual funds have been buyers
of 447.90 crore.
Sell BHARTIARTL Oct Future below Rs 760
View: Bearish
Strategy: Short Future
Target 1: Rs 730
Target 2: Rs 716
Stop Loss: Rs 775.05
Market Lot: 250
......
...
In reply to:
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : vkk43
I feel further weakness in the market for sometime at least.
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : bubbu64Tracked by: 0 Boarder
sorry for the typo error
Pls read it as I am finding it unbelievable, heavy buying into prime stocks......
In reply to:
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : bubbu64
Boarders
Since I am right now online trading with the NYSE, i AM UNBELIEVEABLE HEAVY BUYING INTO PRIME STOCKS AND TREASURIES AND MONEY MARKET FUNDS. DOW touched 9525 as I had predicted. I have a feeling a technical bounce back is likely tomo in world mkts. If the DOW can retrace from 800 down to up by 500 thats a amazing pull back. Not to be missed guys.
Hence in my view tomo we will see wild swings and extreme volatility and a retrace is possible.
Regards
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : bubbu64Tracked by: 2 Boarders
Wake up TD
DOW pulls back by almost 500 points man. No broker will commit suicide tomo morning.
Regards...
In reply to:
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : treasureddhan
The fall like dow today, In India we would have heard many brokers attempting to commit suicide. Imagine what the brokers in US would be planning now
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : bubbu64Tracked by: 0 Boarder
Boarders
Since I am right now online trading with the NYSE, i AM UNBELIEVEABLE HEAVY BUYING INTO PRIME STOCKS AND TREASURIES AND MONEY MARKET FUNDS. DOW touched 9525 as I had predicted. I have a feeling a technical bounce back is likely tomo in world mkts. If the DOW can retrace from 800 down to up by 500 thats a amazing pull back. Not to be missed guys.
Hence in my view tomo we will see wild swings and extreme volatility and a retrace is possible.
Regards...
In reply to:
TARGETS AND INDICATORS FOR THE NEXT ONE YEAR
Posted by : bubbu64
Dear Boarders
My stock index tgts are finally reaching to the levels I had said long ago in June and July. Lat week I had raised a unwarranted panic signal which didnt happen the next day but eventually happened over the last 7 days. I apologise for that once again.
NIFTY should touch 3400-3500. The strongest support for the NIFTY over the 5 year period as I see it is at 3250. This is the last of all supports over a 5 year period. If this is broken then It will take a min of 5 -7 years to reach even 3800-4000. Hence this support of 3250 is extremely crucial. Sensex should hold at 10200-10500 levels. Next crucial support is somewhere close to 9500-9600. This level is as crucial as the one for the NIFTY mentioned above.
Hence I think mkt bottom should be around 3450-3500 and for the SENSEX somewhere around 10200-10500. The crucial levels will be used only when should NIFTY fall somewhere in the below 3500 range and for the SENSEX below the 10200 range. This is my viewpoint. Boarders should take their own decision and make their moves. As for me I am totally out of the mkt. I would touch the mkt at all over the next 3-4 weeks.
DOW JONES should bottom out at 8000-8500 levels. This may happen by December 2008. Hence globally mkts should pick up by 3rd or 4th week of January 2009 after the new US president takes office. If OBAMA wins my take is DOW will recover rapidly back to 10500 levels. The US mkt will stay range bound between 9000-10500 say till May 2009 which my tgt time point for the next bull mkt run to start worldwide. This should happen since I feel by May 2009 the US subprime crisis will turn around positive and real estate mkts will pick up faster. Till then I see a good fall in the real estate prices in India especially in areas which had astronomical levels of price appreciation. This could be areas like Bangalore, Hyderabad, New Delhi, Chennai and Mumbai in that desending order.
My stock picks in the next few weeks broadly will range from INFRASTRUCTURE (roads, bridges, new cities, railways) HEALTHCARE (genetics, gene mapping, nano medicine technology, R&D in areas like down`s syndrome, autism, alzheimer`s, HIV, medical technology), POWER GENERATION AND NUCLEAR POWER, ALTERNATE ENERGY (solar, wind ocean), GAS (power, household, auto, power), SUGAR (for ethanol in petrol mixes), FINANCIALS in infrasturcture like (IFCI, IDBI etc), AUTO (hybrid cars, fuel cars, gas charged, solar). Capital goods consumption will come down over the years despite the rise in earnings capacity. One area in which I see real good growth will be in computer hardware like laptops, wifi, networking security, wimax broadband, and also in nano technology.
Boarders , your views will be highly valued and appreciated
Regards
bubbu64
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : lifaylonTracked by: 2 Boarders
well that a loss of ones REAL-Treasure with a hole in the pocket BUT if that money is not required at the moment and they have patience to wait they will surely be rewarded
in 1992 i bought indoasian fusegear at 22Rs 1500pcs after the harshadmehta crash and subsequent falls it went to Rs 6 i still held them kept in locker my shares and moved in to sell at 150levels if i remember in 2006 if i recollect PATIENCE and money-in-hand is CRITICAL to live thru stock markets
Well one more point in 2004 i did average this scrip by buying 3000pcs more at Rs 13 when promoters had hiked their stake i made my first killing in this stock...
In reply to:
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : treasureddhan
think of all those holding IFCI at rate above 100+
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : treasureddhanTracked by: 2 Boarders
The fall like dow today, In India we would have heard many brokers attempting to commit suicide. Imagine what the brokers in US would be planning now...
In reply to:
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : treasureddhan
the fall in Dow will make Indian market players to wake up with a night mare
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : treasureddhanTracked by: 2 Boarders
think of all those holding IFCI at rate above 100+...
In reply to:
Decoupling days are coming ahead.........
Posted by : lifaylon
Well Goldman made money already both ways by buying at 42 and selling at 48 and if they short immediately which surely they would have done bcos they were more aware of the impending fall of Lehman / Merriyll / Wacovia then YES they would have shorted for sure and by now would have partly booked profits to exit at levels 28 and 25 if that comes to get more i dont think they will wait
Boarders Outlook on IFCI
positive outlook30 queries on IFCI
see moreMore from the Finance - Term Lending Institutions Sector
Boarders tracking IFCI
see more News Updates on IFCI
