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dash.n.crash
A fundamentalist...
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16 Aug 2008 20:07
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30 Jul 2008 18:12
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chief,
Whole market is up by 3% so IDFC had to be. It was outperforming in the morning session but it recieved tremendous amnount of supply at 92 levels. I hope it opens around 93-94 tomm so that it can avoid this block. Above 95 this stock can touch 98-99.5 in a jiffy...
Regards,
DnC...
Whole market is up by 3% so IDFC had to be. It was outperforming in the morning session but it recieved tremendous amnount of supply at 92 levels. I hope it opens around 93-94 tomm so that it can avoid this block. Above 95 this stock can touch 98-99.5 in a jiffy...
Regards,
DnC...
30 Jul 2008 10:35
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Thanks for the post Leave It,
However, I have never been in the boat of technicals specially when Market is in 13k's. We have been waiting for it. We have waiting for a right time to make our investments. Now if the time has come we are becoming more pessimistic. Stock can go anywhere in next 10-15 days. But in 6 months one would get a decent return of 20%. Target 108.8 (thts fair value.. but markets are irrational at times)
Regards,
DnC
...
However, I have never been in the boat of technicals specially when Market is in 13k's. We have been waiting for it. We have waiting for a right time to make our investments. Now if the time has come we are becoming more pessimistic. Stock can go anywhere in next 10-15 days. But in 6 months one would get a decent return of 20%. Target 108.8 (thts fair value.. but markets are irrational at times)
Regards,
DnC
...
30 Jul 2008 10:28
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30 Jul 2008 10:26
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30 Jul 2008 05:44
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Dear pkjattking,
I believe that IDFC might remain lacklustre and an underperformer for a few days from now. However, if global cues support the scenario then you would notice a sharp bounce in IDFC because of short covering. The strength that it showed in upper 90\\`s (before 50 bps hike) gave clear indications that this stock desires higher levels. I think one can very safely buy IDFC below 90 from Cash Market for a decent returns of 20-25% in 6 months. Please do not opt F&O Market unless you have sufficient cash to put as margin so that you can still keep the stock even if it reaches 65 kind of level and thats with a BIG \\\\...
I believe that IDFC might remain lacklustre and an underperformer for a few days from now. However, if global cues support the scenario then you would notice a sharp bounce in IDFC because of short covering. The strength that it showed in upper 90\\`s (before 50 bps hike) gave clear indications that this stock desires higher levels. I think one can very safely buy IDFC below 90 from Cash Market for a decent returns of 20-25% in 6 months. Please do not opt F&O Market unless you have sufficient cash to put as margin so that you can still keep the stock even if it reaches 65 kind of level and thats with a BIG \\\\...
29 Jul 2008 21:13
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Dear 18vg,
I dont know why people follow herd mentality. If most people think thats its gonna fall it will fall more. SEnsex comes at 12k and people speak of 10k. if sensex reaches 10.9k people start speaking about 8k and what happens is that stock rockets from 10.9k and you wait till it reaches 12.5k in the hope that it will fall again. Search for value, whenever you find it efficient buy it. at estimated earnings of 980 for Sensex. 14.7k is a fair value for sensex at 15x. Normally sensex trades around 16-17 on an avg. so 16.5 shudnt be a problem. if sensex trades at 17x, which might be tha case by January, when inflation is around 7%. Historically 1/3rd of the periods have been the periods of stagflation and downturns in economies. If we saw a run in economy from 2002-2007 almost 3.5 years then 2008 can well be that year. 2009 may give you 10% returns and 2010 30% on index. So 18k by FY10 and 23.4k by FY11 are the minimum levels. And I certainly think IDFC being a major Midcap now would be a LArge Cap by then. One of the few institutions which has a credit rating of AAA. It might feel the pressure in FY10 but for now IDFC is well placed (Because of the efforts and disbursements in FY08) to attain an EPS of 6.4/share and being a growth stock it should be valued higher than Sense as a whole so attaining a P/E of 17 hen sensex is at15 shudnt be a problem. which gives a Target of 108.8 within 6 months.
Regards,
DnC...
I dont know why people follow herd mentality. If most people think thats its gonna fall it will fall more. SEnsex comes at 12k and people speak of 10k. if sensex reaches 10.9k people start speaking about 8k and what happens is that stock rockets from 10.9k and you wait till it reaches 12.5k in the hope that it will fall again. Search for value, whenever you find it efficient buy it. at estimated earnings of 980 for Sensex. 14.7k is a fair value for sensex at 15x. Normally sensex trades around 16-17 on an avg. so 16.5 shudnt be a problem. if sensex trades at 17x, which might be tha case by January, when inflation is around 7%. Historically 1/3rd of the periods have been the periods of stagflation and downturns in economies. If we saw a run in economy from 2002-2007 almost 3.5 years then 2008 can well be that year. 2009 may give you 10% returns and 2010 30% on index. So 18k by FY10 and 23.4k by FY11 are the minimum levels. And I certainly think IDFC being a major Midcap now would be a LArge Cap by then. One of the few institutions which has a credit rating of AAA. It might feel the pressure in FY10 but for now IDFC is well placed (Because of the efforts and disbursements in FY08) to attain an EPS of 6.4/share and being a growth stock it should be valued higher than Sense as a whole so attaining a P/E of 17 hen sensex is at15 shudnt be a problem. which gives a Target of 108.8 within 6 months.
Regards,
DnC...
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