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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Outlook - Short Term
   You are here :     Moneycontrol     MMB   Market View   Market Outlook - Short Term

Market Outlook - Short Term

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06 Oct 2008 21:22

But why are u calling Houston the town, i thought u were calling Houston the singer... and i have noticed this houston from 2004 when i registered here... .was wondering whom ur calling and why...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : pkjattking

Hahaha lol.... Houston is town in America where aerospace headquarters are located..... don`t you know ?

06 Oct 2008 21:20

Dear Radhika,

Many many thanks for your compliments.

You may be surprised to know that I have been buying Nifty
Puts and exiting at support levels many times in one month
in the last 12 months. It brought a fortune to me.

But similar fortune cannot be made In CALL OPTIONS in new
Bull phase as market rises continiously in one direction almost
without much volatility. Market crashes brings huge volatility
which in turn make Put Options a virtual gold mine. Those who
heeded my advice in the last one year also made similar fortunes.

Thanks...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

HLN,

Your target given one year back has been hit now.

However did u buy Nifty PE one year back when u began this thread.. at what rate, what strike and how much profits you have now on at least one lot could u tell me.. i am not asking for all detalis.. just on one lot of nifty kindly share the details. Thanks.

06 Oct 2008 21:17

-Q-
Solution is already there, but the US Administration did not listen to me or respond to my letter. As I have stated before, I am the only person in the world who has solution to US problem. I am not boasting or not telling you out of ego. Whatever actions taken by Paulson and Bernanke are terribly wrong. They are printing their way out of the problem.
-UQ-


You may be right in claiming `I am the only person in the world who has solution to US problem`. But what is the use when it is only known to you.?
(who has to listen didn`t listen... for who wants to listen, you say it is not time yet :sigh:)

Just wondering are there any similarites in between You and Emperor Nero..!

Regards,
Sri
(just a `Johnnie Walker` thought.. don`t take it as personal)
...

In reply to:

Paulson`s Poison & Antidote

Posted by : Kalidas

for slowhand22

Is liquidity in Indian market affected. it should not. Interest rates are very high now, so RBI has lot of leeway to reduce the interest rates.

Banking collapse has started already, this is what I was forecasting from 12 months onwards. US is heading towards Civil War, and I will not be surprised if national emergency is declared and election postponed.


Solution is already there, but the US Administration did not listen to me or respond to my letter. As I have stated before, I am the only person in the world who has solution to US problem. I am not boasting or not telling you out of ego. Whatever actions taken by Paulson and Bernanke are terribly wrong. They are printing their way out of the problem.

If they had listened to me earlier, they would have prevented all these collapses, in fact there could have been massive rally. I will release the letter at appropriate time.

Now that the situation has come out of hand, the solution will be more curative rather than preventive. it will hurt almost all, regardless of your country.

India will emerge strongest in the world. I am only worried about Rupee policy of the RBI and Government. They know that it has not worked for over 60 years, and they are still following the beaten path.

In India, most banks are nationalized, so there should not be any problem in Inter-bank lending. Nothing may happen to India, unless the Indian officials become super charged and panicky in which case they will hurt the nation. This is more likely to happen, if past is the indication.

Inflation is no longer a problem now - there is no money in the market. The present problem is liquidity. Indian government has most powerful tools in its armoury. The rates are inordinately high at about 10% for deposits. Even if the rates are progressively reduced by 5% in small steps of 0.5% for next 16 months, (0.5% per 2 months)

Further, next step will be to lower the taxation rate. These are all bullish scenario being set up by the present crisis. To be quite honest, I am super bullish at Indian prospect, but that time has to wait. You have to be stock specific.

A few months ago, I had asked for investing into HPCL (came down to 180), BPCL (came down to 230) when the Index was near 15000 or about. Today, the market is down to below 11000 or by about 35%, and the same stocks are up by 35% to 50% in less than 4 months.

At that time, there were many who were comparing Reliance (RPL) as best buy which was at about 172 to 192. Now it is at Rs 132, down 25%.

This is the difference between my recommendations and others blind loyalty to Ambanis, Tata, Birla, etc. I never attach myself to any stock, and allow my self to be conducted by the sheer logic and dispassionate analysis of any scrip or market.

Perhaps I am the only one today, who is superbullish about the Indian market, and you will see that in coming days.

Kalidas, Hong Kong
6-10-2008

06 Oct 2008 21:15

Hi Karthikn,

why you are amazed ? For my foresight of 3600. You have written
I could not foresee 3600 today. I have been predicting it for
months. Movements of Index do not keep calender with them. The
target level can come any day depending on global cues and other
news flow.

But you are right in every way. Some people manage to find fault
even in the best things.

Keep in up. We need some spice in our food....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : Karthikn

Am amazed to see congratulations pouring in for 3600 seen in nifty after alomost 1 year of prediction. Height of Sarcasm, for sure, from those who congratulated.
Can somebody please start a new Thread "Nifty 5200 Sensex 17000". I am all prepared to congratulate that thread..Of course.. after 2 years...haha..lol
Not a single soul expected 3600 to be broken today.. including the cretor of the thread and of course all those who shamelessly gave their congratulations as am sure none of them took overnight positions expecting 3600 on monday..Some where I feel its too insane all around.lolol

Regards

06 Oct 2008 21:15

:)
ok, no problem, let markets go down....
But dont address me as SIR, please..... :) :) :) :) :)
Regards...

In reply to:

sensex 11960 now

Posted by : zoombusiness

Sir,
More new low level on the way.

06 Oct 2008 21:14

Hahaha lol.... Houston is town in America where aerospace headquarters are located..... don`t you know ?...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : radhika_nandlal

Jatt,

What is houston

You mean whitney Houston?

Why u keep saying houston in so many posts?

06 Oct 2008 21:14

Kalidas sir,
I am a part of the unorganized retail industry in India. I had asked you a question a few months earlier about the deteriorating life style of us middle class INDIANS caused by the global financial turmoil. I dont expect you to remember it. But your REPLY was of tremendous help.
Sir,In the last 3 months the sales have picked up in most of the small and medium retail stores(unorganized sector).
In fact the sales now are around 6 to 8 % MORE than the corresponding festival season last year.
At tha same time, the sales of BIGGIES like RELIANCE RETAIL and BIG BAZAAR(Kishore biyani) are lower compared to last year sales even though their Prices are very competitive.
Sir,Its very confusing.
What could be the reason? A response would be appreciated.
...Singh......

In reply to:

Paulson`s Poison & Antidote

Posted by : Kalidas

for drswastik

Banking collapse has begun. Even Japan has started withdrawing money from everywhere, this is why Japanese Yen despite Zero interest, is going up against US$, Euro, GBP, Aussie $ etc.

It is a home coming of all currencies. All foreign investments of FII will be liquidated either out of strategy, or requirements of funds redemption back home. It has nothing to do with the fundamental of individual companies.

When the banks collapse, the people will shift the money to treasury bonds. When they find that even treasury is useless, they buy only one thing - GOLD

WHERE IS IMF? Have you heard its name in such humongous crisis? Whenever there was crisis in Asia or Latin America, they were rushing here and there and offering many solutions on stringent terms. Now that their original mentor USA is in deep trouble, they do not utter even a single sentence.

Finally, after these currency and banks collapse, the world monetary system will be linked to Gold as standard. It may happen when the current crisis is fully played out.

Almost all troubled banks are nationalized. The only countries to come out strongly will be India (China too), France and Brazil.

India is very strongly positioned. It is least leveraged, almost all banks are already nationalized, so there will be no run on the banks, has over 30,000 tons of gold with private holders, people are now more literate now, and the country is blessed with well defined friendly weather. There is no better place than India. Most NRIs will start sending money to India from their banks (except perhaps Canada). If only RBI does not intervene to keep the rupee low, which is the most hazardous policy over decades - rupee should have been at Rs 26 now - that is biggest disincentive to NRIs

We can not predict the market even for tomorrow, so do not talk about 2010 and 2011 like an Astrologer.

Yes, one thing, The best opportunities for long term investment is coming in a few months. Brace it for that. If some FII withdraws the money from India that causes the loss of hundreds of points, that is more due to his weakness, or requirements back home, rather than the weakness of Indian economy.

It all depends how imaginative our PM and FM are. Being a good person is not enough. India needs leadership of highly imaginative persons who are relatively young (40+ to 55-) who can stay longer. We should not have leaders for whom we would have national holidays in a few years with flags hanging out at half mast.

Kalidas, Hong Kong`
6-10-2008

06 Oct 2008 21:09

HLN,

Your target given one year back has been hit now.

However did u buy Nifty PE one year back when u began this thread.. at what rate, what strike and how much profits you have now on at least one lot could u tell me.. i am not asking for all detalis.. just on one lot of nifty kindly share the details. Thanks....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : hindlevernet

Dear vam,

I am keeping very close eye on dow. It is crashing down to
the range seen 25 October 2004 ( Monday ) when it touched
9660 on that day. So 9738, the lowest of today so far seems
to be excellent support for Dow. If it maintains the level
of 9600 today and for next few days, then we may hope for
recovery from this point onward.

06 Oct 2008 21:08

Anything in the range of 2600-2800 will be excellant seeing the turmoil in the world markets. This is failure of the US the biggest economy. ...

In reply to:

At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

06 Oct 2008 21:07

Another BS note: Deploy only a part of LT investments: If those values do not come to those weekly charts figures, then wait for those values to come as Nifty will not go UP in hurry due to the madness on that part of those Big Players.

It is still theoretically possible that those BIG PLAYers can easily take Nifty to 4100! :)

Gud luk & happy investing! :)...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : BullSheetRules

Dear pkjattking,

It looks like that DOW has given ENOUGH jitters to different market PLAYers to do something! :)

Those Media headlines are as of now on the expected lines! :) :)

Tomorrow, if one see Nifty around 3450-3500 level, then perform some TA to build a part of LT investoments! Perform that TA on weekly charts! :)

Daily charts are useful for Traders, weekly charts are useful for LT investors! :)

Let us hope better SENSE prevails among those BIG Players! :)

Let us hope for the best! :)

Gud luk & happy investing! :)

06 Oct 2008 21:06

Jatt,

What is houston

You mean whitney Houston?

Why u keep saying houston in so many posts?...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : pkjattking

Boos shall I phone Houston and tell them the train has stopped.... n plz prepare for a rocket....jut kidin

06 Oct 2008 21:05

LOLs Jatts!

Nothing like that.. but helps to have a plan (in it for the long haul)... I want to see a U shaped recovery :-)

...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : pkjattking

Boos shall I phone Houston and tell them the train has stopped.... n plz prepare for a rocket....jut kidin

06 Oct 2008 21:05

Dear vam,

I am keeping very close eye on dow. It is crashing down to
the range seen 25 October 2004 ( Monday ) when it touched
9660 on that day. So 9738, the lowest of today so far seems
to be excellent support for Dow. If it maintains the level
of 9600 today and for next few days, then we may hope for
recovery from this point onward....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : vam_aru

Dear BSR,

Seems like DOW had taken a minor support at 3775 , and now quickly moved to 9890, let`s see where it cosing today, today`s closing is important for us...

06 Oct 2008 21:04

I have already entered at 3600 level with short term horizon. Though nifty may touch level below 3000, but it will bounce back from 3600 levels and it can go upto level of 4000-4100 level within few trading session where it is advisable to offload short term holdings and apply wait & watch approach going forward....

In reply to:

At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

06 Oct 2008 21:04

I have already entered at 3600 level with short term horizon. Though nifty may touch level below 3000, but it will bounce back from 3600 levels and it can go upto level of 4000-4100 level within few trading session where it is advisable to offload short term holdings and apply wait & watch approach going forward....

In reply to:

At what Nifty level will you invest fresh money?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

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