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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Outlook - Short Term
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Market Outlook - Short Term

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04 Dec 2008 17:41

Fundamentals are not supporting the high rates of interest,and deflation is in the offering....

In reply to:

How much rate cut do you expect in repo & reverse repo?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

04 Dec 2008 17:31
View full thread (39 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Addressed to  sbalu,  nightowl

Dear Sakthi,

I hold GHCL from 1988..IPO at 10
It touched 190 and now at 25 still falling
CAGR..4.7%

I hold Indusind bank from 2002 bought at 20
It touched 100 and today at 30 still falling
CAGR..7%

I hold Loyal textiles from 2002 bought at 92
It touched 250 and today at 70 still falling
CAGR..-4.5%

I hold Manali Petro from 2003 bought at 5.6
It touched 20 and today at 6.5 still falling
CAGR..3%

I bought IFCI in 2002 at 8 and sold in 2007 at 25
CAGR..25%
It touched 100 and today at 17 still falling
Had I not sold CAGR..13%

The bluest of the blue chips Tatasteel has moved from 80 to 150 in the last 6 years In between it touched 900
CAGR..11%


If you want I can give more examples.

Stocks are for BUYING and SELLING

AS

LIFE IS FOR LIVING & ENJOYING

A Dosa on the plate is worth three on the pan and six as batter


GOOD lUCK...

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : sp.palo

Dear googol,
LT means atleast 5 years and equity beats all other investments over long term

04 Dec 2008 17:26

Nifty will remain in green on 05.11.08 Friday for a maximum of one hour. After that, all red. Negative closing for nifty on Friday with a minimum loss of 50 points....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : nandeesh_v2001

hai sanju how r u? book u r profit at nifty level 2910- 2950 from that level nifty will reverse and finaly nifty will touch 2300-2280 this is for sure in dec within 25th.

04 Dec 2008 17:25

I agree. this is a relief rally...Markets are not bullish but just correcting. Can go upto 3000-3150.

It will fall once Q4 predictions for all companies are out....

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : SANJU786


Please dont get to excited about todays rally and invest entire capital now.

Max nifty will go upto 3200.

Market crash is expected in december.

Sanju

04 Dec 2008 17:23
View full thread (1 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

I believe, the market will rise for a few days due to following reasons:
1. Uncertainity of state elections over.
2. Govt likely to announce package for exporters, infra, auto etc.
3. US markets will also be stable as date of Obama taking over comes closer.
4. US govt likely to bail out auto cos.
5. Interest rates likely to be cut.

But in longer term it will decline as fundamentals of economy in most countries are poor. Bailouts are like life support. The patient has to spend time in hospital before being fully cured.
My advice: sell in early next week. Then buy partly in third week Dec and partly after third quarter results are out in mid-Jan 09....

04 Dec 2008 17:20

There is nothing that is going in favour of the present government.

As Parliament Election comming in another 6 months, the Government will have do something so as to attract at least the investing community, who have already hit heard because of uncertainly world over.

Now only was the Prime Minister having got hold of the Finance Ministry under his belt show some aggression by reducing the interst rates thereby making easy availablity of the easy finance to all sectors....

In reply to:

How much rate cut do you expect in repo & reverse repo?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

04 Dec 2008 17:08

yes, your are right. But buying in some stocks should be made at 6000 level for sensex....

In reply to:

How much rate cut do you expect in repo & reverse repo?

Posted by : kadiyali

OR rather like giving drinking water (instead of meal) to a hungry person.

04 Dec 2008 17:06

Dear,
Uptill the Parliament election, as there is no clearity, the market may further tank.

There is nothing that is favourable to the current Congress headed UPA Government.

Though there is no clear indications emerging, which may not be good because the uncertainity prevailing and that is why even retaile inverters are reluctant to take any fresh position even in the good shares, rather, even they are getting out on every rally, but, it has not happened today - This seems to be a good sign.

Lets see the trend tomorrow....

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : alokvarshney52

If we analyse the trading pattern with volumes on various counters, then it seems that retail investors are selling on every rally even from good counters. This way they are going to lose. Money can be earn from equities if we have enough patience and we exit from fundamentally bad scrips. It is time to invest in good scrips. Once parliament elections are over, I think our market will definitely take bullish direction.

04 Dec 2008 17:06

Dear googol,
LT means atleast 5 years and equity beats all other investments over long term

...

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : googol

Who says holding shares for LT will not result in loss?
Even after seeing the market in the last ten months?
Oh yeah, profit or loss comes out of selling and so one can hang on to his holdings forever and say I have not incurred any loss.(like we do in TD)LOL
Wise people exit at 10% plus or 5% minus whichever happens earlier.

04 Dec 2008 17:05

OR rather like giving drinking water (instead of meal) to a hungry person....

In reply to:

How much rate cut do you expect in repo & reverse repo?

Posted by : marketbear

Rate cut is not useful for our market as it will like giving drinking water to dead person.

04 Dec 2008 17:02

Who says holding shares for LT will not result in loss?
Even after seeing the market in the last ten months?
Oh yeah, profit or loss comes out of selling and so one can hang on to his holdings forever and say I have not incurred any loss.(like we do in TD)LOL
Wise people exit at 10% plus or 5% minus whichever happens earlier.
...

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : alokvarshney52

If we analyse the trading pattern with volumes on various counters, then it seems that retail investors are selling on every rally even from good counters. This way they are going to lose. Money can be earn from equities if we have enough patience and we exit from fundamentally bad scrips. It is time to invest in good scrips. Once parliament elections are over, I think our market will definitely take bullish direction.

04 Dec 2008 16:59

Rate cut is not useful for our market as it will like giving drinking water to dead person....

In reply to:

How much rate cut do you expect in repo & reverse repo?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

04 Dec 2008 16:51

Max 3800 in 6 months and 4000-4200 after one year.

regards
shakti...

In reply to:

See Nifty in 2450-2800 range ahead: MF Global

Posted by : Guest

Please give an idea regarding the nifty target for the period 6 months to one year.

04 Dec 2008 16:38

Inflation is coming well under control and in view of the liquidity crunch still prevailing, RBI will surely go for atleast 50 bps cut...

In reply to:

How much rate cut do you expect in repo & reverse repo?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

04 Dec 2008 16:37

That rule will be useful for longterm investors. Short term investors are supposed to exit from stocks as stocks are used to come down after climbing up. Stocks will come down heavily next week and people who have sold stocks on these rallies can buy them at lower levels. In these environment, this is not bad strategy. If our investment is not been able to generate income then better to earn income in this way and this will continue for atleast next 1 year. Markets will not runaway from these levels as there will be worst before it becoming better for investment....

In reply to:

Retail investors exiting on rallies

Posted by : alokvarshney52

If we analyse the trading pattern with volumes on various counters, then it seems that retail investors are selling on every rally even from good counters. This way they are going to lose. Money can be earn from equities if we have enough patience and we exit from fundamentally bad scrips. It is time to invest in good scrips. Once parliament elections are over, I think our market will definitely take bullish direction.

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