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Messages From novice1000
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dear ravi,

I didnt get hurt.Just wanted the picture to be more clear for every one.

As far as the erosion in capital is concerned, FM cant do much.This is the result of a global phenomenon and lopsided policies.

When ever excesses happen in markets, even a one percent sell off in equity can create havoc in markets.

During the times of excesses people get stuck on the higher side.When markets start collapsing and reaches the realistic levels, investors who already got driedup stand helpess in markets.

That kind of situation creates momentary demand side vacuum and infinite supply resulting in a free fall.

It is exactly the opposite of excessive liquidity creaing excesses in markets.Liquidity crunch creates some excesses on the down side too.But this doesnt last long.But it doesnt mean that markets witness a full bounce from the bottoms.Bounce can be some 15 to 20% higher from the final bottom and that level will be followed by a long consolidation period.

We are yet to see the bottom.

Hope the picture is clear.

We are here to exhange our views.So you dont need to be sorry.

As of now inaction is the best action for investors with limited risk appetite.

regards

...
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13 Oct 2008 19:17
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dear vkk,

You are right.Optimism at its height...

Two years time frame and a target of Rs.1000/- for this counter bring so many doubts to any savvy investor worth his salt.

regards...
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dear lovemeall,

Quote:Reckless trading in futures with inadequate capital backup for any margin shortfalls is an extremely dangerous game. Maybe, you got it right this time, but believe me the day it goes wrong, your entire capital can get wiped out.

Unquote:Again the right msg in the right time.This is the time for traders to reduce the market exposure to bearable levels to withstand any unforeseen wild movement in either direction.

regards...
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dear lovemeall,

Thankyou for your wishes and kind words.As you rightly said now and also in your earlier msgs, a slow and steady building of a right portfolio can fetch good money in the long term.

It is better if one can stretch the investment period little longer than 3 years before considering any shuffling.

I am basically an investor and not in to trading.And here on MMB only to give some idea about the investment strategies to the gullible ones.

regards...
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13 Oct 2008 11:50
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dear kamlesh,

Right way of assessing stock valuation is taking the expected (not the one extrapolated from the previous year`s EPS growth rate) average EPS growth rate for the next 2 years are so and to see if it is higher than the current market PE.

In such scenarios, when ever PE is lesser than the projected average EPS, that investment is going to be a safer one keeping in mind the the competency of the management to achieve that EPS, and the possible global and domestic economic situations either favouring the sector or posing a threat,and the impact of the policy changes on the business in general and the company in specific.

regards...
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dear googol,

After a long time, i opened the moneycontrol site in the morning.To see that subtle and pleasant humour which was put in such a nice way in nice words is simply a pleaseant surprise.

Wish god will give you full 100 years of life with full health atleast to make other souls happy.

regards

PS:The dumb person in me couldnt understand how could you make it that was an IPO at 42 and not an FPO 42....
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12 Oct 2008 22:39
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dear all,

The present bottom is very likely to be the bottom for the time being and there are more chances of this counter witnessing some good upside in the days to come.

However this should not be mistaked as long term call.

regards...
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