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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Market View >> Market Outlook - Short Term
   You are here :     Moneycontrol     MMB   Market View   Market Outlook - Short Term

Market Outlook - Short Term

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21 Aug 2008 13:17

Inflation data is not at all trustworthy, Because its not done crude corrected almost 24% from its high & inflation hasnt even shown sign of back. Who is going to believe this that 24% correction in crude doesnt have any impact on crude. The whole system is manupulative & the datas arent at all trustworthy.
I think markets should ignore the data & inflation figures & business & corporate houses should learn from this....

In reply to:

Mkts slip further; SBI, NTPC, HDFC Bank top losers

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Markets have slipped further as selling continued in banking, realty, power, technology, capital goods and oil stocks. Weak Asian cues fueled to negative sentiments. Midcap and small cap stocks also under pressure. Market breadth is weak; about 1193 shares have advanced while 1572 shares declined. Nearly 400 shares are unchanged.

21 Aug 2008 13:10

Nifty will never hit 3600 or Sensex 12000, we do accept that we are in bear market but except inflation India don't need to really worry about and Inflation is now a days global issue.....for more info on daily market update visit hbjcapital dot com.

(Aug 21st/Thursday; Posted on 1:04am Thursday)[Publisher of -10in3- (Small Cap with 10 times in 3 years potential) Equity Research Report & -Street Smart- (Lots of Investment Ideas) Newsletter]

FOR MORE INFO VISIT HBJCAPITAL DOT COM

HBJ Capital’s prediction was proved wrong yesterday; we expected Indian stock market to continue its fall and it was well in its way, likely to fall till early morning around 7am, when I was busy taking a nice cup of tea prepared by my caring younger brother, glaring at CNBC TV18, Hang Sang and China, both were down, US already extended support on Tuesday after falling 1% or more. So, in short HBJ Capital's prediction was almost going in the right direction. BUT....


But by the time I reach HBJ Capital's head office at Jayanagar, Bangalore, scenarios were different; China up 5% and Hang Sang up 1%, even Nikkei was 0.5% up with no reason to smile (Japan is going thru longer recession and slowdown fear). Actually what happened during my transit from home to office was -There were some speculation that Chinese government may announce pro-market policy reforms, it seems China is considering an economic stimulus package of up to 400 billion Yuan (58.4 billion dollars) to boost growth-. This news helped Shanghai Stock Market to bounce back 7% today. It is true that anything can happen anytime, see a news coming out from China, that too all of a sudden, has made our prediction wrong:-(

Funny thing here is, Hang Sang, Nikkei and whole European stock market started celebrating, including our own Indian market. Yes, we except that, UPA government reforms is in process but still we need to see how long they are able to attract vote bank by providing cash payment of Rs 22,000Cr as subsidy to the fertilizer companies.

Already govt is suffering from Oil subsidy and now it is fertilizer subsidy, rather than increasing the efficiency of these companies govt is taking shortcut route to attract farmers. Any idea what happened to approx Rs 30,000 Cr which was paid by govt to farmers as bad loan repayment? Still farmer are doing suicide, these subsidy are short term solution for a bigger long term problem.

Shrugging off the bearish sentiment in the last couple of sessions, the markets opened in the positive note yesterday and sustained their strength throughout the session. The Nifty August futures ended with a premium of 26 points at 4,442 as against the spot Nifty which closed at 4,416 (up 48 points). The August futures saw trades of over 4.20 lakh contracts, and the open interest rose by 27 lakh shares to 3.51 crore shares.

...

In reply to:

WILL NIFTY HIT 3600 & SENSEX TOUCH 12000

Posted by : MMB Moderator

Hi hindlevernet,

In your own words "if you see somthing wrong, just ignore it and if you find something appreciable, do not forget to compliment"

We will appreciate if you follow your principle... please donot mark messages as offensive and delete them off the board.. if the messages donot break the code of conduct on the MMB.

-MMB Moderator

21 Aug 2008 13:05

(Aug 21st/Thursday; Posted on 1:04am Thursday)[Publisher of -10in3- (Small Cap with 10 times in 3 years potential) Equity Research Report & -Street Smart- (Lots of Investment Ideas) Newsletter]

FOR MORE INFO VISIT HBJCAPITAL DOT COM

HBJ Capital’s prediction was proved wrong yesterday; we expected Indian stock market to continue its fall and it was well in its way, likely to fall till early morning around 7am, when I was busy taking a nice cup of tea prepared by my caring younger brother, glaring at CNBC TV18, Hang Sang and China, both were down, US already extended support on Tuesday after falling 1% or more. So, in short HBJ Capital\'s prediction was almost going in the right direction. BUT....


But by the time I reach HBJ Capital\'s head office at Jayanagar, Bangalore, scenarios were different; China up 5% and Hang Sang up 1%, even Nikkei was 0.5% up with no reason to smile (Japan is going thru longer recession and slowdown fear). Actually what happened during my transit from home to office was -There were some speculation that Chinese government may announce pro-market policy reforms, it seems China is considering an economic stimulus package of up to 400 billion Yuan (58.4 billion dollars) to boost growth-. This news helped Shanghai Stock Market to bounce back 7% today. It is true that anything can happen anytime, see a news coming out from China, that too all of a sudden, has made our prediction wrong:-(

Funny thing here is, Hang Sang, Nikkei and whole European stock market started celebrating, including our own Indian market. Yes, we except that, UPA government reforms is in process but still we need to see how long they are able to attract vote bank by providing cash payment of Rs 22,000Cr as subsidy to the fertilizer companies.

Already govt is suffering from Oil subsidy and now it is fertilizer subsidy, rather than increasing the efficiency of these companies govt is taking shortcut route to attract farmers. Any idea what happened to approx Rs 30,000 Cr which was paid by govt to farmers as bad loan repayment? Still farmer are doing suicide, these subsidy are short term solution for a bigger long term problem.

Shrugging off the bearish sentiment in the last couple of sessions, the markets opened in the positive note yesterday and sustained their strength throughout the session. The Nifty August futures ended with a premium of 26 points at 4,442 as against the spot Nifty which closed at 4,416 (up 48 points). The August futures saw trades of over 4.20 lakh contracts, and the open interest rose by 27 lakh shares to 3.51 crore shares.

...

21 Aug 2008 13:02

Its buy buy buy now. As everytime inflation news nears market corrects. Such a weak financial management by RBI. Crude corrected from USD 146- USD 111 but still inflation is at higher level. DOnt you all guys think that RBI isnt really interested in controlling inflation but it has its own agenda? Isnt it manupulated & clear cut loot of indian investors by rbi....

In reply to:

Mkts slip further; SBI, NTPC, HDFC Bank top losers

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Markets have slipped further as selling continued in banking, realty, power, technology, capital goods and oil stocks. Weak Asian cues fueled to negative sentiments. Midcap and small cap stocks also under pressure. Market breadth is weak; about 1193 shares have advanced while 1572 shares declined. Nearly 400 shares are unchanged.

21 Aug 2008 13:02

The markets snapped their five-session losing streak today. The Nifty, the Sensex and the broader markets posted good gains. The Nifty and the Sensex were up 1%. The broader market saw more green than red. All in all, it was a pretty quiet day on low volumes....

21 Aug 2008 13:01

Mkts under selling pressure; banks worst hit

Investors were offloading positions after oil rebounded and ahead of inflation data.


...

21 Aug 2008 13:00

(Aug 21st/Thursday; Posted on 1:04am Thursday)[Publisher of -10in3- (Small Cap with 10 times in 3 years potential) Equity Research Report & -Street Smart- (Lots of Investment Ideas) Newsletter]

FOR MORE INFO VISIT HBJCAPITAL DOT COM

HBJ Capital’s prediction was proved wrong yesterday; we expected Indian stock market to continue its fall and it was well in its way, likely to fall till early morning around 7am, when I was busy taking a nice cup of tea prepared by my caring younger brother, glaring at CNBC TV18, Hang Sang and China, both were down, US already extended support on Tuesday after falling 1% or more. So, in short HBJ Capital\...

In reply to:

Mkts slip further; SBI, NTPC, HDFC Bank top losers

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Markets have slipped further as selling continued in banking, realty, power, technology, capital goods and oil stocks. Weak Asian cues fueled to negative sentiments. Midcap and small cap stocks also under pressure. Market breadth is weak; about 1193 shares have advanced while 1572 shares declined. Nearly 400 shares are unchanged.

21 Aug 2008 12:59

(Aug 21st/Thursday; Posted on 1:04am Thursday)[Publisher of -10in3- (Small Cap with 10 times in 3 years potential) Equity Research Report & -Street Smart- (Lots of Investment Ideas) Newsletter]

HBJ Capital’s prediction was proved wrong yesterday; we expected Indian stock market to continue its fall and it was well in its way, likely to fall till early morning around 7am, when I was busy taking a nice cup of tea prepared by my caring younger brother, glaring at CNBC TV18, Hang Sang and China, both were down, US already extended support on Tuesday after falling 1% or more. So, in short HBJ Capital\...

In reply to:

Mkts slip further; SBI, NTPC, HDFC Bank top losers

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Markets have slipped further as selling continued in banking, realty, power, technology, capital goods and oil stocks. Weak Asian cues fueled to negative sentiments. Midcap and small cap stocks also under pressure. Market breadth is weak; about 1193 shares have advanced while 1572 shares declined. Nearly 400 shares are unchanged.

21 Aug 2008 12:58

Went short on HDIL..Waiting for it to break 311.
Regards...

In reply to:

Can Nifty sustain above 4600 this week?

Posted by : inves_t_rader

Its the part of the game, sometimes profit, sometimes loss...
Yesterday was a pure bait for investors to flock in, Market (nifty) may recover by afternoon, not much but a little.. shorts will get covered a bit, if nifty may even recover 50% of todays fall, but tommorow i guess would be a really bad day if inflation comes above 12.44%
Regards

21 Aug 2008 12:50

The FII are not bullish in the indian market since the inflation is getting out of control inspite of the government trying it's best to curtail the inflation. but it seems that the liquidity in the market is just too much and the effects of the RBI measures would start yielding its fruit in some time may be from the month of October 2008. Also the crude has raised it's head again which needs to cool off at the earliest to change the sentiment of FII....

In reply to:

With Rs 1,800 cr of buying yesterday, has the FII trend turned for the better?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

21 Aug 2008 12:48
View full thread (1 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

RPL :- Raha Paisa To Lenge

RNRL :- Rona Nahi Phir Bhi Ro Lenge

RIL :- Risk In Life

RCOM :- Rahi Sahi Capital Unpe Mitana

REL :- Roz EK Lafda

R - POWER :- RONA PEHLE SE HI AA GAYA

************ ********* *



FORTH COMING IPO

* Reliance Hair Cutting**
* Reliance Cycle Services** ...

21 Aug 2008 12:06

If crude breaks 120 mark or so and sustain that level then Govt has a very little choice else se fiscal running empty. This will set an inflation and interest rate to a new and a shockigly high, I am afraid.
LovelyGuy...

In reply to:

Will there be another round of petrol, diesel price hike, given oil cos\' losses?

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Dear Boarders,Do let us know your views and opinions on the poll.-MMB Messenger

21 Aug 2008 12:05

Market looks very cheap in these days and in short term i think market will touch minimun 16000 levls upto strating of oct 2008....

In reply to:

FII shareholding in 82 BSE 500 stocks dip in Q1FY07

Posted by : MMB Messenger

21 Aug 2008 11:59

NTPC is good buy at Rs. 166....

In reply to:

Mkts slip further; SBI, NTPC, HDFC Bank top losers

Posted by : MMB Messenger

Markets have slipped further as selling continued in banking, realty, power, technology, capital goods and oil stocks. Weak Asian cues fueled to negative sentiments. Midcap and small cap stocks also under pressure. Market breadth is weak; about 1193 shares have advanced while 1572 shares declined. Nearly 400 shares are unchanged.

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