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Moneycontrol >> Messageboard >> Stocks >> Chennai Petroleum Corporation
   You are here :     Moneycontrol     MMB   Stocks   Chennai Petroleum Corporation

Chennai Petroleum Corporation

Belongs to: Refineries
Buy, Sell or Hold? 8 comments
3 boarder queries
12 boarder tracking
Peer stocks in Refineries sector
BSE: 500110
NSE: CHENNPETRO
102.05  -7.3 (-6.68)
Volume: 359426
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02 Dec 2008 15:10

CPCL is attractive

Posted by : Guest
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 106.50 ( 1.09 % ), NSE: Rs. 106.15 ( 0.62 % )
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Tracked by: 0 Boarder

I am not a stock analyst. But I do some basic maths on stocks. The following are the parameters

Market Cap Vs Reserve Cash: 1563 Vs 3315 - Very Good

Loans Vs Reserve Cash : 2450 Vs 3315 Good. The loan is around 7.65% with good AAA/Stable S&P & P1+ Crisil rating

Book Value Vs Current Market Price : 232 Vs 105 - Really Attractive

Growth : Average growth of 35% in the last 4 years. EPS 75,

Let me take the average 4 yrs EPS as base which comes to 45(50% of last EPS). I assume a growth of 5% (conservative) for the next 3 years (mid-term) and somebody ready to offer a PE of 3, the stock is at the minimum valued at 147Rs on PEG basis.

The face value is 10 and the company has a history of good divedent distribution. Add that to your returns

Considering all the above, 100Rs for CPCL is a good entry point for a 3 year horizontal. One can definitely stand to gain a minimum of 100% profit

One cannot time the market. The sentiment currently is pretty bad. Does this share can go down. I don`t know. All I feel is that putting 100Rs on this share is worth considering.




...

01 Dec 2008 11:18

Target 120

Posted by : Guest
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 109.25 ( 3.65 % ), NSE: Rs. 109.90 ( 4.52 % )
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Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Down target of 110 reached comfortably. Wait for new target at this web space next week....

In reply to:

Target 120

Posted by : Guest

The new down target is 110.

20 Nov 2008 11:10

Chennai petro downtarget=80....

Posted by : jdosvd
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 114.00 ( -2.06 % ), NSE: Rs. 113.85 ( -2.06 % )
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Tracked by: 0 Boarder

No this strategy is not advisable as with mounting losses dividend will be slashed/skipped.Do not go on any such strategies in this bearish market.Just wait and watch.Stock still has long way to go....

In reply to:

Chennai petro downtarget=80....

Posted by : stkstudent

What if one does bottom fishing at lowest probable level, that will bring down the average price and also the dividend yield will improve, would you advise on this strategy ?

19 Nov 2008 22:33

Chennai petro downtarget=80....

Posted by : stkstudent
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 116.40 ( -0.68 % ), NSE: Rs. 116.25 ( -0.64 % )
View full thread (2 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

What if one does bottom fishing at lowest probable level, that will bring down the average price and also the dividend yield will improve, would you advise on this strategy ?...

In reply to:

Chennai petro downtarget=80....

Posted by : stkstudent

What if one does bottom fishing at lowest probable level, that will bring down the average price and also the dividend yield will improve, would you advise on this strategy ?

19 Nov 2008 22:11

Target 120

Posted by : stkstudent
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 116.40 ( -0.68 % ), NSE: Rs. 116.25 ( -0.64 % )
View full thread (3 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

What you have stated about future dividends is more so based on your personal feeling. The company has good reserves to give bonus as in the case of GAIL and also track record w.r.t. dividend. Dividend yield is always one of the most important factors to take any investment decision. Dividends reveal the financial capability of a company and also its attitude of sharing the gains with the investors. ...

In reply to:

Chennai petro downtarget=80....

Posted by : stkstudent

What if one does bottom fishing at lowest probable level, that will bring down the average price and also the dividend yield will improve, would you advise on this strategy ?

19 Nov 2008 19:07

Chennai Petro

Posted by : stkstudent
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 116.00 ( -1.02 % ), NSE: Rs. 116.25 ( -0.64 % )
View full thread (2 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

In the present scenario, 6 month period seems too short. Even with your buy price the dividend yield works out to more than 7%, so why not keep holding until the stock reaches your desired target. You should take your own decision that meets your purpose conveniently and suitably. ...

In reply to:

Chennai Petro

Posted by : fasttreck

Hi ! I purchase 500 shares of Chennai Petro for Rs.231.65. Can I wait for good price or exit ? I am ready to wait for 6months if I get good return.
Regards,
Siddharth

12 Nov 2008 17:44

Chennai Petro

Posted by : fasttreck
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 120.70 ( -2.31 % ), NSE: Rs. 120.65 ( -2.51 % )
View full thread (2 messages)

Tracked by: 0 Boarder

Hi ! I purchase 500 shares of Chennai Petro for Rs.231.65. Can I wait for good price or exit ? I am ready to wait for 6months if I get good return.
Regards,
Siddharth...

05 Nov 2008 15:56

Target 120

Posted by : Guest
Price when posted : BSE: Rs 136.60 ( -4.54 % ), NSE: Rs. 136.60 ( -5.14 % )
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Tracked by: 0 Boarder

The new down target is 110....

In reply to:

Chennai Petro

Posted by : fasttreck

Hi ! I purchase 500 shares of Chennai Petro for Rs.231.65. Can I wait for good price or exit ? I am ready to wait for 6months if I get good return.
Regards,
Siddharth

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