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Be and Make  
Joined on : 26th-Mar-2007
Belongs to :  Platinum
Posted : 1345 messages
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Thanks for Visiting my page


I have been a fundamental investor in this market from last 12 years. I gained much in this Dream Bull Run (2003-2008) based on my experience I exited almost from the market when was at 5800 level Nifty. Even then my pocket eroded nearly 30% from the peak of my portfolio value. Investing in stocks is still my hobby only.
My investment style: Basically I am a defensive investor with high-risk appetite. As I earlier said I couldn’t spare whole time in this market, So, I will restrict to limited stocks (3-5 only). This year we cannot see much upside in the market, but the long-term growth story at home is still intact.


“ Do you want more” visit : http://stockstowin.blogspot.com/




Market outlook in this week (25-08-2008):


Hold your short positions, till nifty reaches the 4150 and this week some technical bounce might happen and will lead to the 4450 or 4500. Use this up moves for adding more short positions. The medium term trend is positive and is valid till Nifty sustains above the 4125 and around this level trend reversal might happen which can push the indices to the 4500 level.


Previous weeks Market outlook (18-08-2008):


Hold your positions targeting the previous targets given on 04-08-08.


Previous weeks Market outlook (04-08-2008):


Last week my calls were not activated. This week too I will give the same call means Go short Nifty above 4550 targeting the lower end of the band having T1:4325 T2:4205 T3:4075 with a stiff stop loss at 4625. Actually the short term trend is UP and will get the further strength if it crosses 4775. But, the signals we are getting replicate the ‘classic example of a bear market’.


Market outlook –short term (17-08-2008):



Absolutely the same was happened as I expected in the previous march month call. This is the time to review the call.
Now, some negative factors turning to be positive factors and some of the points not changed. Markets are factored in all the bad news (which I have predicted on march08). So, from here we will see some good news like (consolidation of crude, inflation and interest rates;) and some bad news (like shrinking of margins, upcoming elections, Low FII inflows etc,). So in my view from here markets will have both good news and bad news. So, markets are range-bounded between 3800-4800 and best way to trade is ‘Buy on every dip’. It is time to reconstruct your portfolio and acquire good stocks in your bag.

Conclusion:




The stocks I prefer are purely based on the fundamentals not on technicals so should hold at least 6-18 months.




Present my holdings (As on 04-08-2008):



1.RPL @ 158/-

2. Bartronics


Stocks interested to Pick:




From large caps for short term ArevaTD, BHEL and Alstom projects. From Mid cap for long term ICSA, Tata metaliks and alpa labs etc.,





* * *




Happy Investing






K A L Y A N



Stockstowin.blogspot.com


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Messages From Be and Make
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05 Sep 2008 22:05
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Dear sid- Very very impressive views, actually right now I have not tracked the ind glycol but after reading your detailed report definitely I will go through it. Please post regularly.
Thanks for sharing your good views
With thanks
Be and make
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dear guest - Please come with some id, so that our conversation will have some meaning.
Eagerly waiting for your reply with some ID.
Nothing to worry, i am ready to share my views, please come with some id.
with thanks
be and make...
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05 Sep 2008 11:31
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Dear varun – Thanks for your good words, very good and excellent post thanks for sharing your views. You seem to be very calculative and all your targets definitely should achieved surely.
With thanks
Be and make
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Short term global cues very negative,
1. Nuke deal again on a bumpy road and leads to much delay
2. OPEC thinking to cut the production which will either maintain the crude price at the 110 level or again leads to further.
3. SP and other leading parties threatening government about the hide agreements in N-deal
4. Inflation again will move up after a breath (another two weeks it may consolidate here)
5. New RBI governor is very strict to control the inflation.
6. GDP numbers are below 8% everybody ignoring this right now.
7. Growth slowing down

So for short term Nifty will move to 4200 level very soon,
With thanks
Be and make
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05 Sep 2008 10:35
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Dear Phantom – My target for the same period is around 650/- due to that price / sales ratio should be around .75-1 its global peers are trading between 0.8-1.78 and when we valuated Price to earnings then the global peers are trading between 16-27. Bartronics is expected to post 1K revenue in FY10 and from past we can have a 25% OPM and 19%NPM which suggests that it will generate 60EPS for FY10. So there is huge potential from the current price.
All the best use every dip to add this stock in your bag.

Out of my all picks I am comparing it ICSA, which was outperformed. Now, it is the time of Bartronics and I love this stock.
With thanks
Be and make
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05 Sep 2008 09:39
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dear sbaluji - good morning, after a long break a message from your frnd.
with thanks
be and make...
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Dear manju – I already told to you that Futures are meant for speculation and is no way connected to the equity. Futures are provided for the operators and in this no delivery will take place as it is in equities. They all are meant for speculation, in equity stock price may move up or down, it doesn’t mean that derivative underlying (stock) should move along with the equity price. These all are meant for speculation and are for traders. From futures we can get the some cues like technical analysis. In futures trader has to pay the margin money (around 20% of the delivery value) so that he is taking five times more risk than the delivery. Better to avoid it for time being you seems to be new entrant in equities so advise you to better to trade in equities only after getting some sound fundamental knowledge then you can take the calculated risk by entering in to the FnO.
If you want more information about the share market please go through my blog in it you can have the ‘learning centre’.
Stockstowin.blogspot . com
With thanks
Be and make
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