Dear pkjattking,

your post is very true & it`s show that as always somw game going on & i think that US market react very early on baiout.

What My personal view is that after 50 min when DOW is closed it will closed with some smart green numbers.

hope 2%or3%
which show very surprising at this moment.

Happy Investing
NO FEAR PORTFOLIO
Manish Kedawat




...

Dear All,

It will see RS 70 or if not stop there then it will see RS 30.

coze this company stock dnot have worth even RS 140.

Happy Investing
NO FEAR PORTFOLIO
Manish Kedawat
...

16 Sep 2008 08:54 Special Report: Can Dow Hold 11,000?
Market Strategy - Medium Term
The financial markets are in turmoil.
Teeka: Hey everybody. This is Teeka Tiwari from Point & Profit and the Tycoon Report. Crazy, crazy day. We are witnessing history today. Complete breakdown over at Lehman Brothers (LEH). You know, venerable 158-year-old investment bank just gone to the wind. I’ve got a soft spot in my heart for Lehman. That’s where I got my start.
Marie asked me to weigh-in and really let you know what’s going on ... how it is going to affect everybody ... where there may be some opportunities. I spent most of this morning talking to various news networks about what’s going on. Obviously, the big question here is, ‘What’s going to be the effect of Lehman? It’s a $613 billion bankruptcy. How is this going to affect everybody?’
I think at the end of the day, the people most affected by Lehman are other counterparties - the other people that bought and sold and traded with Lehman Brothers. But much of this Lehman Brothers news has already been priced into the market. So while we’re seeing turmoil today, we’re not seeing a complete meltdown in markets.
Usually, on a disaster of this magnitude, in terms of sentiment, you would see a 700 or 800 point drop in the Dow. Today, so far, we’ve been going down 200 or 300. 12:30 in the afternoon right now, the real key test is going to be what happens between 3 pm and 4 pm. It’s that final hour of trading that tells us where we go.
If we break 11K on the Dow, then chances are, outside of some very, very strong words from the Fed or global rate cuts, we will go significantly lower: 10.5K, 10K, maybe even to the 9,000 level. And if that’s the case, if we break 11K, the only bet is to go short across the board and that’s something myself and both Chris at the Trend Rider has already been doing.
Now there is a lot of scuttlebutt that the Fed might come out and cut rates, if they cut rates tomorrow and the market buys into it, it could be a good shot that we would get either a tradable rally or put in some kind of short term bottom there. It is far too early to make that call, though.
The other key consideration that all investors are looking at is AIG and Washington Mutual. Are these the next two major institutions to fall? WaMu, with their ill-fated foray into sub-prime, is just getting absolutely hammered. But really the bigger picture in my mind is AIG. AIG, the huge insurance company, have insured lots of losses called debt swaps. Basically, AIG insures companies where if they go out of business or there’s a default on their bond, AIG will make the bond whole.
They’ve done that on about a trillion dollars worth of bonds. So that’s just enormous risk over there in AIG. But again, this is risk that the rest of the market knows about. So we’ve got to ask ourselves - the market is only down 200 - 300 points - what’s going on here?
And I think the real key that is propping this market up now is oil prices. The fact that oil is down big today, down about $7, this acts as a global tax cut for all companies all over the world. So I think this is actually lending some strength to equity markets. This might lead to a Q3, Q4 bump in earnings. But again, all of that can kind of get thrown into a cocked hat if we’re down 500 - 600 points in the last hour of trading. It all comes down to the last hour of trading today.
Marie: What do you think will happen if the Fed doesn’t come in and lower rates? Because remember they were thinking about raising rates.
Teeka: Well the Fed was thinking about raising rates. And in a normal environment, it would probably be the right thing to do. I think a large part of the Fed’s decision-making process is going to key off on how we close today. If we have a strong close or if we close above 11K, they might be less likely to cut. But again, we’re dealing with market expectations and will the tail wag the dog again? I don’t know, but I can tell you there will be some disappointed people if tomorrow morning there is no Fed cut. And that disappointment will be expressed. And the only way it can be expressed is lower stock prices.
Marie: The Fed jumped in on Bear Stearns because it was apparently too big to fail, but Lehman was bigger than Bear Stearns and the Fed let them go under, so do you think the government has run out of money?
Teeka: The Treasury has backstopped Fannie and Freddie for $5 trillion. I think they said, ‘You know what? Enough is enough. You know, we’re not handing out any more free money.’ And the bottom line is if Lehman was going through this even two months ago or a month ago, they probably would have been safe. But they just waited too long and there really were no other options. You know, after backstopping Fannie and Freddie, after backstopping Bear, there was just no more money to go around.
Marie: Thanks, Teeka!, sorce:The Tycoon Report, NO FEAR PORTFOLIO
Manish Kedawat
...

The financial markets are in turmoil.
Teeka: Hey everybody. This is Teeka Tiwari from Point & Profit and the Tycoon Report. Crazy, crazy day. We are witnessing history today. Complete breakdown over at Lehman Brothers (LEH). You know, venerable 158-year-old investment bank just gone to the wind. I’ve got a soft spot in my heart for Lehman. That’s where I got my start.
Marie asked me to weigh-in and really let you know what’s going on ... how it is going to affect everybody ... where there may be some opportunities. I spent most of this morning talking to various news networks about what’s going on. Obviously, the big question here is, ‘What’s going to be the effect of Lehman? It’s a $613 billion bankruptcy. How is this going to affect everybody?’
I think at the end of the day, the people most affected by Lehman are other counterparties - the other people that bought and sold and traded with Lehman Brothers. But much of this Lehman Brothers news has already been priced into the market. So while we’re seeing turmoil today, we’re not seeing a complete meltdown in markets.
Usually, on a disaster of this magnitude, in terms of sentiment, you would see a 700 or 800 point drop in the Dow. Today, so far, we’ve been going down 200 or 300. 12:30 in the afternoon right now, the real key test is going to be what happens between 3 pm and 4 pm. It’s that final hour of trading that tells us where we go.
If we break 11K on the Dow, then chances are, outside of some very, very strong words from the Fed or global rate cuts, we will go significantly lower: 10.5K, 10K, maybe even to the 9,000 level. And if that’s the case, if we break 11K, the only bet is to go short across the board and that’s something myself and both Chris at the Trend Rider has already been doing.
Now there is a lot of scuttlebutt that the Fed might come out and cut rates, if they cut rates tomorrow and the market buys into it, it could be a good shot that we would get either a tradable rally or put in some kind of short term bottom there. It is far too early to make that call, though.
The other key consideration that all investors are looking at is AIG and Washington Mutual. Are these the next two major institutions to fall? WaMu, with their ill-fated foray into sub-prime, is just getting absolutely hammered. But really the bigger picture in my mind is AIG. AIG, the huge insurance company, have insured lots of losses called debt swaps. Basically, AIG insures companies where if they go out of business or there’s a default on their bond, AIG will make the bond whole.
They’ve done that on about a trillion dollars worth of bonds. So that’s just enormous risk over there in AIG. But again, this is risk that the rest of the market knows about. So we’ve got to ask ourselves - the market is only down 200 - 300 points - what’s going on here?
And I think the real key that is propping this market up now is oil prices. The fact that oil is down big today, down about $7, this acts as a global tax cut for all companies all over the world. So I think this is actually lending some strength to equity markets. This might lead to a Q3, Q4 bump in earnings. But again, all of that can kind of get thrown into a cocked hat if we’re down 500 - 600 points in the last hour of trading. It all comes down to the last hour of trading today.
Marie: What do you think will happen if the Fed doesn’t come in and lower rates? Because remember they were thinking about raising rates.
Teeka: Well the Fed was thinking about raising rates. And in a normal environment, it would probably be the right thing to do. I think a large part of the Fed’s decision-making process is going to key off on how we close today. If we have a strong close or if we close above 11K, they might be less likely to cut. But again, we’re dealing with market expectations and will the tail wag the dog again? I don’t know, but I can tell you there will be some disappointed people if tomorrow morning there is no Fed cut. And that disappointment will be expressed. And the only way it can be expressed is lower stock prices.
Marie: The Fed jumped in on Bear Stearns because it was apparently too big to fail, but Lehman was bigger than Bear Stearns and the Fed let them go under, so do you think the government has run out of money?
Teeka: The Treasury has backstopped Fannie and Freddie for $5 trillion. I think they said, ‘You know what? Enough is enough. You know, we’re not handing out any more free money.’ And the bottom line is if Lehman was going through this even two months ago or a month ago, they probably would have been safe. But they just waited too long and there really were no other options. You know, after backstopping Fannie and Freddie, after backstopping Bear, there was just no more money to go around.
Marie: Thanks, Teeka!
sorce:The Tycoon Report
NO FEAR PORTFOLIO
Manish Kedawat








...

Dear avrochan,
i do agree with your point that this stock will see 380-390 in this months.

This is just the matter of time.

Operators is test your petience that how long u can hold it.

Happy Investing
NO FEAR PORTFOLIO
Manish Kedawat




...

If there is anybody think there is no manipulation in stock mkt... you gotta b kiddin me... today was a prime example.... in a way it is healthy.... I am sure there are some speculators got crushed in last two hours of trade..... on the other side they have just given more power to money grabbers to screw an average joe....who will now work hard to this debt,,,, and who`s assets will b bot bi big fat greedy cats..... the cycle will begin all over now....... ...